From time to time, gloomy predictions appear in the press about the possible start of a new world war, the initiator of which may be the United States of America. Is it possible to implement such scenarios in the modern world? What circles can benefit from the unleashing of hostilities?
Who benefits from the war
In the last century, the world has experienced two global armed conflicts, which are called world wars. The reasons and causes of these events were different, but the final results played into the hands of the United States of America in the first place.
The end of the world wars led to a sharp increase in the economic and military potential of the United States, as well as to an increase in the influence of the American currency.
Some analysts believe that if World War II had been averted, by the early 1970s, the United States would have been just one of the rank-and-file countries in its region with very low per capita incomes. But the undisputed leader in economics and politics could well become the Soviet Union, whose economic potential was, however, extremely undermined by the war with Germany.
Today, historical events are largely repeated, only China is taking the place of the Soviet Union, which irritated the American imperialists. China's growing role in politics and economics may mean that in the coming decades, the United States will lose its former influence and will be forced to reckon with this Asian power.
Will a world war be avoided?
The modern world has entered a period of protracted crisis. A similar situation arose both before the First and before the Second World War. The way out of the previous crises was the military confrontation between the leading imperialist powers, which had the goal of redistributing the world and seizing new territories rich in resources.
Experts do not exclude that the current crisis may also result in a struggle between the leading powers, but now not only for resources, but also for sales markets for their products.
One of the possible scenarios for unleashing a new war assumes that it will be initiated by the United States, and it will begin with military operations in the Asian Pacific Ocean. The experts call China the main target for the strike, but it is possible that Russia will also be drawn into the military conflict, with which the United States is still in a state of cold war.
Why is it about China? This country is confidently breaking out among the leaders in the field of economics, although the US military superiority over China is obvious. But how long will the United States be the arms leader? There is a danger that in a decade or two, China will be able to build up its armed forces, including the navy, and will be able to compete with America on equal terms. This situation is extremely uncomfortable for American politicians and the military, who are striving to maintain the status of their country as the only superpower.
The sphere of US geopolitical interests continues to include Russia. Major General Alexander Vladimirov, representing the Collegium of Military Experts of Russia, back in 2007, pointed to the likelihood of a war between the United States and Russia, in which America would be the initiator, over the next two decades. The reason for the possible collision is obvious: the United States is interested in monopoly access to the richest Russian resources and in preventing China from accessing them. The expert believes that the war will begin with a local conflict, which may well later cover the entire region.
No one can say with certainty how an international military conflict can begin, it is only clear that the possibility of its occurrence cannot be completely ruled out. The contradictions of the modern world, in the center of which is the United States, are global in nature. And they can be resolved only if the interests of one of the antagonist countries are infringed.
The entire course of history of the last century shows that the fundamental contradictions inherent in imperialism can only be resolved with the use of military force. We can only hope that economists and politicians of the leading world powers will be able to find compromise solutions that, at least temporarily, will reduce tensions in the world. But how long will they be able to delay the inevitable denouement? Time will tell.
