July is the height of summer, so it is the hottest month in almost all regions of Russia, not excluding the capital of the country - Moscow. However, there is no year after year, and sometimes July can disappoint those who like to bask in the sun.
The weather in Moscow in July is most often hot and sunny. However, there may also be exceptions to this rule.
July in Moscow
You can make your own forecast of what July will look like in Moscow long before its onset, using statistical data on the characteristics of this month in previous years. So, this information shows that July is usually the hottest month of the year in the capital of the Russian Federation: the average daily temperature during this month is 25.9 ° C. July nights are also quite warm - night temperatures rarely drop below 16 ° C. Moreover, during the month, temperature drops are usually not too significant. This is what distinguishes July from other summer months, since the beginning of the month in June is often much colder than its end, while the opposite trend is observed in August.
There is also relatively little rain in Moscow in July compared to August: for example, the average number of rainy days in a month is only 5, and the total amount of rainfall during this period is a little more than 60 millimeters. Moreover, the number of days when the sun shines brightly and is not covered by clouds is more than three weeks - 22 days. Thanks to this, as well as the significant length of daylight hours, which in July is just beginning to decline, this month is characterized by the largest number of hours of sunshine per year.
Weather forecast
Nevertheless, the described general trends characterize only the most frequently recurring weather patterns in the city. At the same time, it should be understood that in some years July can differ greatly in these parameters from the average statistical month: for example, it can bring a large amount of rain, abnormally high or low temperatures.
To find out what the weather will be in July in Moscow, with a relatively high degree of probability, you can not earlier than a month before the onset of this period, that is, in June. At the same time, forecasters warn, the accuracy of such a long-term forecast is unlikely to exceed 70%.
Such a rather modest accuracy of long-term weather forecasts is due to the fact that they are based on the movement of large air masses, which determine the key weather characteristics. However, even a slight deviation from the predicted trajectory, which is very likely in practice, can lead to the fact that they pass by the city in question, thereby interfering with the execution of forecasts. In addition, the impact of smaller atmospheric phenomena, such as cyclones or anticyclones, which will lead to the fact that forecasters' forecasts will not come true or come true only partially, can make their own adjustments to such predictions.
